https://rayliant.com/the-myth-of-the-chinese-real-estate-bubble/
But for obvious reasons, reducing home prices is exceedingly unpopular with existing home-owners and lenders. A workable approach, which could take a decade to bear fruit, requires Beijing to work actively to contain property prices while inflation and economic growth raise household income. But a more promising and immediately impactful alternative is a Singapore-like government housing program, where low-cost rentals are built and operated by the state for lower income earners.
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Beijing is rightly concerned with the social pain caused by this issue. However, there is also an economic problem to be addressed: although Chinese workers have worked and saved excessively, much of their capital has been mis-directed. A significant percentage of the country’s investments have been sunk into the real estate sector.
Having spent the past several months in China, I see the pain that housing affordability has caused people across the country. I have also seen the economic potential that will be unlocked as this problem is solved. So I say, “Good luck, Beijing!” I hope you have the right solution, even if I don’t know for sure that you do. But I do feel confident you’re at least solving for the right problem.
https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1191.pdf
https://theconstructor.org/construction/valuation-of-building-methods-calculation/33091/
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